"US-China trade redux: Risks behind the Busan Deal."
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Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).
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US–China Trade Truce Redux: Risks Behind the Busan Deal
The Busan framework illustrates a new phase in US–China relations: one defined not by resolution or reconciliation, but by management of rivalry.
Latest Stories
Supply Chains: The Achilles Heel of US Military Power?
Critical mineral dependencies and a military complex that’s not fit for purpose represent strategic vulnerabilities that will reverberate in US foreign policy, at least in the short-term.
Taiwan Searches for Economic Allies in a Divided World
Taiwan’s drive to diversify international partners reflects the tightrope that middle powers must navigate amidst growing great power competition. In this, the Canada-Taiwan economic cooperation framework can serve as an instructive case for Taipei.
Taiwan in Japan’s Strategic Perspective: Gateway to Tokyo’s Backyard
Taiwan matters to Japan: economically, diplomatically, and strategically. But while Tokyo cannot detach itself from Taiwan’s fate, neither can it afford to become too tightly bound to outcomes it does not control.
Malaysia’s Upgrade Moment: China’s Fingerprints on Industrial Engineering
Malaysia is entering a decisive phase where Chinese firms are shaping the country’s next industrial frontier, but decisive policy that rewards capability, mandates openness, and enforces standards will be necessary to ensure the economic benefits are widespread and long-lasting.
Japan Eyes Entry into Global Small Arms Market
Japan’s longstanding ban on arms exports has been slowly dismantled since the Shinzo Abe era, with the conspicuous exception of small arms exports. That may be about to change.
What Trump’s Kuala Lumpur Turn Teaches the West About Southeast Asia
Trump’s Kuala Lumpur gambit was a reminder that power still matters in the Indo-Pacific. But power without predictable politics is a brittle foundation.
Geopolitics Weekly (US-Australia Rare Earths Deal, Carrier Strike Group in Caribbean)
This week we cover new US sanctions against Russian oil majors, the deployment of a US Carrier Strike Group to the Caribbean, a US-Australia rare earths deal, and the outcome of highly consequential midterm elections in Argentina.
US–Pakistan Ties are Quietly Redrawing South Asian Geopolitics
After years of diplomatic frost, the US–Pakistan relationship is warming again — not through rhetoric, but through energy, technology, and minerals — the currency of modern geopolitics.
UN Cybercrime Pact Hopes to Curb Rise of Transnational Criminal Networks
State leaders hope that the weekend signing of the United Nations Convention on Cybercrime in Hanoi will mark a step toward reversing the growth of transnational cybercrime networks, many of which operate with impunity just across the Mekong. But as always with global treaties, the devil will be in the details.
Breaking the Ice: Unpacking the US-Finland Icebreaker Deal
The recent US-Finland icebreaker deal has two objectives: close the capability gap with Russia in the High North and thaw out a long-frozen segment of the US shipbuilding industry.
Ireland Braces for a Contentious Presidency
Upcoming elections in Ireland could produce a president at odds with the current government. We look to the Irish constitution for insight into the Irish presidency and constitutional heads of state elsewhere.
Sybir, Geography, and Memory in Northeast Poland
It is in Poland’s east that the next stage of reconciliation and unification will happen in Europe, guided by Sybir and the need to once again make this borderland whole.
From Guam to Camp David: Nixon-Era Lessons for the US-Japan-ROK Trilateral
The Nixon era not only offers ambiguous lessons, but practical guideposts for strengthening trilateral US-Japan-ROK security cooperation, made all the more relevant by growing concerns of a ‘dual contingency’ in Taiwan and the Korean Peninsula.
Australia US State Visit: Hard Lessons in Soft Power
A US state visit by Australia’s prime minister highlights the challenges of maintaining democratic integrity while advancing national interests as a middle power — a balancing act of dignity and practicality in an era where performance politics has genuine policy implications.
Indonesia-North Korea Thaw Opens Door to Closer Security Ties
Indonesia and North Korea are rebuilding a modest rapport. Whether the two nations’ engagement expands to become a significant factor in regional security depends on Indonesia; but it wouldn’t be the first time that Jakarta surprised on the foreign policy front.
Taiwan in India’s Strategic Perspective
In addition to a burgeoning bilateral technology partnership, Taiwan affords New Delhi strategic space in the Indo-Pacific region and keeps critical SLOCs out of China’s direct control.
Geopolitics Weekly (EU Drone Wall, Argentine Midterms)
This week we cover new EU initiatives meant to shore up defenses along the bloc’s eastern flank, President Trump’s foray into the heart of Argentine politics, and a new political coalition that could shake up foreign policy in Japan.
China–India Rapprochement and Its Strategic Implications for Afghanistan
Shifts in Asian geopolitics are creating new opportunities for Afghanistan, but administrative and security challenges must be overcome for Kabul to take full advantage of them.
2025 KMT Chair Race: Balancing Peace and Peril in Taiwan
The 2025 KMT chair race is not just an internal power struggle. It is a mirror reflecting Taiwan’s broader dilemma between peace and peril.
How Pakistan Revived Its Geopolitical Positioning
Pakistan has been able to thread the needle between two superpowers despite cascading political and economic crisis at home. Here’s how Islamabad is pulling it off.




















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Welcome to my geopolitics blog site. This is a Hawaii Island news site focusing on geopolitical news, analysis, information, and commentary. I will cite a variety of sources, ranging from all sides of the political spectrum.