World Politics Review

"The costs of snapback sanctions in Iran."

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Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).

September 29, 2025

Hello, everyone. Today at WPR, we’re covering what Jair Bolsonaro’s conviction means for Brazil’s democracy and why Chile keeps bouncing from election to election without a clear direction for change.

But first, here’s our take on today’s top story:

A meeting of the Security Council meeting at United Nations headquarters in New York, June 24, 2025 (AP photo by Yuki Iwamura).

After a flurry of diplomacy in recent weeks failed to reach a breakthrough, the U.N. Security Council reimposed sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program. The renewed sanctions went into effect Sunday, 30 days after Germany, France and the United Kingdom invoked the “snapback” provision of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, accusing Tehran of failing to comply with the terms of the agreement.

While China and Russia on Friday sponsored a last-ditch resolution at the Security Council to delay the snapback for six months, it did not receive the nine votes that would have been required for approval. Tehran will now face an arms embargo, as well as travel bans and asset freezes for certain individuals and entities.

The measures effectively tear down what little was left of the 2015 deal, returning all parties to a status quo ante of heightened tensions. But as Ali Vaez pointed out, this time Iran is militarily and economically weaker than when it first embarked on the talks that led to the nuclear deal. The rial, Iran’s currency, dropped to a new record low on Saturday against the U.S. dollar.

At the same time, continued support from China and Russia is expected to . . .

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The conviction of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro earlier this month on coup-plotting charges ed foreign observers to commend Brazil’s democratic resilience. But legal avenues for Bolsonaro’s appeal remain open, and the case has exacerbated the country’s already deep polarization. It also illustrated the Brazilian political system’s heavy reliance on the courts to settle disputes, raising concerns about a politicized judiciary, Bruna Santos writes.

After Bolsonaro’s Conviction, a New, Uncertain Phase for Brazil’s Democracy

Bolsonaro’s conviction has drawn praise as a sign of Brazil’s democratic resilience, but it is far from the end of the story.

www.worldpoliticsreview.com/brazil-bolsonaro-conviction-democracy

 

Upcoming general elections in Chile, the first round of which are. scheduled for Nov. 16 with a presidential runoff to follow on Dec. 14, will be the ninth and tenth times Chileans go to the polls since mass protests rocked the country in 2019. Those include five votes related to two failed attempts to rewrite the country’s constitution. Why, then, despite taking so many trips to the ballot box, are Chilen voters unable to settle on a clear direction for change? James Bosworth looks at this question in his weekly column.  

Chile Gears Up for Yet Another ‘Change Election’

Despite demands to overhaul Chile’s political system, no direction for change has emerged, nor is one likely after upcoming elections.

www.worldpoliticsreview.com/chile-elections-boric-kast

China, Zambia and Tanzania finalized a deal that would see a Chinese company invest $1.4 billion to refurbish the Tanzania-Zambia railway. The route bypasses a route through South Africa, speeding the expert of copper and cobalt.

The so-called TAZARA railway was originally built by China in the 1970s and links copper mining areas to the commercial hub of Dar es Salaam on Tanzania’s coast. As Duncan Money wrote in March, the project is an example of a change in strategy for China’s Belt and Road initiative, from financing public goods such as transportation for people toward infrastructure that is focused on extractive industries.

 

In Africa, the Race for Critical Minerals Is Recreating Colonial Models

Large-scale infrastructure projects across Africa are attracting billions of dollars in investment. They’re also replicating colonial models.

www.worldpoliticsreview.com/africa-minerals-us-china-competition

 

The ruling pro-EU party in Moldova won parliamentary elections held on Sunday, despite a significant Russian effort to affect the outcome in favor of the pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc. President Maia Sandu’s Action and Solidarity Party surpassed 50 percent of the vote with the count 99 percent completed, ensuring it will win at least 55 of the 101 seats in Parliament.

In the runup to the election earlier this month, Moldovan authorities carried out hundreds of raids against individuals they said were part of Kremlin-backed efforts to create disinformation, sow mass riots and buy votes. In May 2024, Frida Ghitis looked at the origins and extent of Russia’s efforts to sabotage Moldova’s bid to join the EU.

 

Russia Is Trying to Conquer Moldova From Within

Russia may not need tanks to subjugate Moldova. Instead, the Kremlin can simply interfere in its politics. In fact, it’s already doing so.

www.worldpoliticsreview.com/moldova-russia-ukraine-politics

 

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