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WPR Daily Review.

"The U.S. attack on Iran represents a turning point."

Views expressed in this geopolitical news and analysis are those of the reporters and correspondents.  Accessed on 23 June 2025, 2122 UTC.

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Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).

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June 23, 2025

Hello, everyone. Today at WPR, we're covering AI's impact on women's employment around the world, and whether Iran poses a threat in Latin America.

But first, here's out take on today's top story:

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after Iran attack.
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, in Washington, June 21, 2025 (pool photo by Carlos Barria via AP).

The U.S. attack on Iran this weekend represents a turning point not only in U.S.-Iran relations but also, in all likelihood, in regional history. The operation, which targeted Iran’s underground nuclear facilities that Israel could not reach with its military capabilities, represents the culmination of over two decades of efforts to address Iran’s nuclear program since it was first discovered in 2002.

U.S. President Donald Trump and his administration have signaled openness to continuing to negotiate an agreement to replace the multilateral nuclear deal with Iran from which Trump withdrew during his first term. But Tehran had already expressed its unwillingness to return to the negotiating table while under fire from Israel prior to the U.S. attack. It is hard to imagine . . .

Subscribe to WPR to read the rest of our take on today’s top story.

For over three decades, at every moment of geopolitical tension involving Iran, some analysts of Latin American security have raised the question of whether the region will feel the fallout in the form of terrorist attacks. Those warnings were already brought to mind after Israel launched its air attacks against Iran 10 days ago. They have taken on added urgency now that the U.S. joined that campaign in what the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump claims—and hopes—will be a one-off bombardment of Iran’s harder-to-reach nuclear facilities this weekend.

Iran’s connections to two deadly bombings targeting the Israeli Embassy and a Jewish community center in Argentina in the 1990s demonstrated an ability to strike globally with its proxies. If those capabilities still exist, now would seem to be the kind of moment for Iranian proxies to lash out. On one hand, Latin American authorities should be prepared for whatever threats they can identify. On the other hand, if no attacks occur, this may be the moment to rethink the plausibility of the Iranian threat in the Western Hemisphere altogether, James Bosworth writes.

By James Bosworth

The current conflict between Israel and Iran should put to the test all the threat analyses about Iran’s presence in the Western Hemisphere that have been written over the pastu0026hellip;

*****

The conversation around the impact of generative artificial intelligence, or AI, on the labor market has shifted from whether it will displace jobs to whose jobs are at stake and how quickly. In this new paradigm, gender is emerging as a key fault line, and nowhere is this tension more evident than in countries where gender disparities already inform who works, as well as at what jobs and under what conditions.

A landmark May 2025 report by the International Labour Organization, or ILO, and Poland’s NASK Research Institute shed light on these questions, while adding nuance. The report found that women around the world are disproportionately more likely than men to be employed in roles “highly exposed” to automation by generative AI, such as Large Language Model chatbots, Anisha Sircar explains.

By Anisha Sircar

Women are far more likely to be employed in roles “highly exposed” to automation by generative AI. But their replacement is not a foregone conclusion.

Question of the Day: Which article of the United Nations Charter codifies the right to self-defense?

Find the answer in the latest WPR Weekly Quiz, then read Paul Poast's column on why the reasons Israel launched its war against Iran matter.

Today in On Our Radar, we're highlighting WPR coverage that is relevant for understanding the U.S. attack on Iran.

First in previous Daily Reviews this month, we've looked at why Israel decided to attack Iran now, how Iran's regional position crumbled so quickly, why the Israel-Iran conflict is a dilemma for the Gulf states, and what was at stake for the U.S. before it decided to join in the conflict.

In the wake of the U.S. attack, Iran's options for retaliation depend heavily on its short-range attack capabilities, which Shahryar Pasandideh examined in October 2023:

By Shahryar Pasandideh

Iran’s long-range ballistic missiles long have been the focus of international attention. Over the past two decades, though, Iran has also developed and deployed an increasingly diverse array of shorter-rangeu0026hellip;

With regard to what comes next, Alexander Clarkson last year highlighted the dangers of assuming that domestic vulnerabilities are likely to prevent authoritarian leaders from escalating external conflict:

By Alexander Clarkson

Whether Russia in Ukraine or Iran in the Middle East, authoritarian regimes flexing their military muscles can generate a sense of irresistible momentum that fuels anxiety among more open societies.u0026hellip;

And finally, in January of this year, Abolghasem Bayyenat wrote that a weakened Iran will not necessarily herald a more peaceful and stable security environment in the Middle East:

By Abolghasem Bayyenat

With regime change in Syria and Hezbollah weakened, Iran’s alliance system has nearly collapsed. That doesn’t mean a peaceful Middle East is emerging.


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