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"The Law of the Sea under attack."

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Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).

October 13, 2026

Hi, everyone, and welcome back to the Daily Review.

Today at WPR, columnist Candace Rondeaux unpacks all the reasons why Donald Trump’s import waiver for Russian diesel is a sign of desperation. And Anisha Dutta reports from New Delhi on the massive protests seeking to defend a core feature of India’s democracy: its voter rolls.

Scroll down for more on those items. But first, here’s our take on today’s top story:

Oil tankers and cargo ships waiting to transit the Bosporus into the Black sea in Istanbul, Oct. 7, 2026. (AP Photo by Emrah Gurel)

Drone attacks targeted two commercial vessels off Bulgaria’s Black Sea coast on Tuesday, sinking one of the ships, with 11 sailors still missing. And yesterday, in the Indian Ocean, the French navy boarded an oil tanker suspected of flying under a false flag as part of the “shadow fleet” Russia uses to evade U.S. and European sanctions on its oil exports.

The two incidents highlight the degree to which, for all the attention paid to how drones have transformed the terrestrial battlefield, the war in Ukraine is also a far-flung naval war. But they also form part of a broader trend that has seen states and nonstate actors alike use conflicts to erode the law of the sea and the principles of freedom of navigation that underpin global trade.

Though there has not yet been definitive attribution for today’s attacks in the Black Sea, which occurred just outside …

 
 
 

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In a fit of pique last week, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that Ukraine needed a new president to replace Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Ukrainians could be forgiven for wondering whether the same reasoning applies to the current occupant of the White House. Trump’s latest bargain with Russian President Vladimir Putin, offering sanctions relief on Russian diesel amid a global fuel crisis, has drawn a sharp bipartisan rebuke from Congress, including questions about whether the deal violates U.S. law.

As Hail Marys go, Trump’s unilateral rollback of sanctions ranks among the more expensive acts of wishful thinking in recent American diplomacy, Candace Rondeaux writes.

 

Trump’s Diesel Gamble Reveals Washington’s Waning Leverage

Trump is pushing for an energy ceasefire, but he will be hard pressed to make such a deal between Putin and Zelenskyy hold.

 

Over the past week, thousands of paramilitary and police officers flooded central areas of India’s capital in response to widespread demonstrations against a controversial purge of the voter roll. On Saturday, security forces rounded up thousands of rally-goers and activists before they could even reach designated protest sites, including leaders of the “cockroach” youth movement.

Reporting from New Delhi, Anisha Dutta looks at how the latest protests are uniting the increasingly influential Gen Z protest movement and India’s opposition parties around an accusation that goes to the heart of the country’s democracy: that the electoral system itself is being manipulated.

Voting Rights Emerges as a Key Flashpoint in the World’s Largest Democracy

A purge of 130 million voters from the rolls has sparked another wave of mass protests in India, undermining the Election Commission’s credibility.

Hungary: Lawmakers on Tuesday approved a bill to remove anti-LGBTQ restrictions from a 2021 law passed under former Prime Minister Viktor Orban, whose government was known for one of the most restrictive approaches to LGBTQ rights in Europe.

The amendment lifts a ban on portraying homosexuality and gender diversity in content accessible to children, replacing it with a general prohibition on material that could “seriously impair the child’s physical, intellectual, emotional or moral development.”

This marks the first significant reversal of Orban-era LGBTQ restrictions since Prime Minister Peter Magyar won April’s election in a landslide and ended his predecessor’s 16-year rule.

The 2021 bill, framed as a measure to combat pedophilia, drew widespread condemnation from EU leaders and critics for conflating “LGBTQ issues with child sexual abuse,” WPR’s Frida Ghitis wrote at the time. Rights groups and activists have welcomed Tuesday’s amendment as an important step but noted that other discriminatory provisions remain on the books.

 

Orban’s Anti-LGBTQ Law Crosses a Red Line for Europe

Violations of democratic norms by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban are nothing new, but the explosion of anger in Europe against the anti-LGBTQ law just approved by the Hungarian parliament has crossed a critical red line.

 

Israel: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu this week ordered a criminal investigation into Israeli military sources featured anonymously in a documentary describing … Purchase your premium subscription now to make sure you don’t miss important news and analysis.

Iran: Tehran is bolstering its defenses, including around nuclear sites, and threatening wider attacks across the Middle East if … Purchase your premium subscription now to make sure you don’t miss important news and analysis.

Democratic Republic of Congo: Former President Joseph Kabila announced a new coalition of groups opposed to the government on Monday, taking on a more … Purchase your premium subscription now to make sure you don’t miss important news and analysis.

 

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