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Geopolitical Monitor: Geopolitics News and Risk Analysis.

"Siliguri Corridor:  The Achelles' Heal of India."

Views expressed in this geopolitical news and analysis are those of the reporters and correspondents.  Accessed on 20 September 2025, 2324 UTC.

Content and Source:  "Geopolitical Monitor."

URL-- https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/

Please check URL or scroll down to read your selections.  Thanks for joining us today.

Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).

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 Siliguri Corridor: The Achilles’ Heel of India

cc Aksveer, modified, Rafale at Aero India 2017 / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rafale_at_Aero_India_2017.jpg

Barely 20 kilometers wide at its narrowest, the Siliguri Corridor is India’s sole land link to its northeast. Hemmed in by foreign borders and overshadowed by rival powers, it is a place where geography becomes destiny and unity rests on the most fragile of threads.

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Who Owns the Middle Corridor? Agency and Rivalry in Eurasia

cc President.az, modified , Ilham Aliyev inspecting the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway, a key rail link in the Middle Corridor connecting the Caspian region to Turkey and Europe. / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ilham_Aliyev_viewed_passenger_train_to_run_on_Baku-Tbilisi-Kars_railway_line_13.jpg

No single actor owns the Middle Corridor, and its success will hinge not on great power interests, but on regional stakeholders whose collaboration will move the Eurasian trade route forward.

The Zangezur Corridor: A Key Trade Link in the South Caucasus

cc Clay Gilliland, modified, Line of trucks from Georgia and Armenia waiting to enter Russia Just south of Kazbegi; https://flickr.com/photos/26781577@N07/37109052573/in/photolist-YxcAtg-ezBaKz-oGJozX-oJt7qU-Zhzo9C-ZhznCs-2aTLqxG-CfJVAj-2aDbPpB-PRyLHG-gNSGzW-2aB2NVF-Zj3kMj-2bZC4UX-2bXuoHC-2nLvHZc-Zj3fxS-EnMPfs-DsohWo-DRC6vX-2kLVsmD-2kLRMmw-2iJ7FcS-2iJ7FgK-2iJ7Ffx-fhe3Cf-7orsHx-7ovmwS-PcL7bb-rm2mVZ-noiDg9-edhvaJ-2mcAJW2-2mcx3AR-edbRVF-ee7k1G-edbRQe-ecxge3-2gCFPBb-ee4wud-LVthDD-ecrCW2-KKgAvs-2gCFPGX-2gCFPEN-edbRCn-ecrD4X-dVgj8x-2mcWBES-afDKNz

The Zangezur Corridor is a transformative initiative that hopes to reshape trade and economic landscapes across Eurasia, but it’s not without it’s challenges.

 Taiwan in US Strategic Perspective: Lynchpin of the Indo-Pacific

Taiwan abstraction, Generated by Google Gemini AI on September 17, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Taiwan has become a locus of geopolitics, global economic stability, and ideology in the post-Cold War era. This series explores why this small island looms so large in the strategic thinking of Pacific powers, starting with the United States.

Global South Can Gain as Trump Tariffs Redraw Global Power Map

President Donald Trump signs an Executive Order on the Administration’s tariff plans at a “Make America Wealthy Again” event, Wednesday, April 2, 2025, in the White House Rose Garden. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok) See also File:2025-April-02-Reciprocal tariffs (left half).jpg, cc White House / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Trump_showing_a_chart_with_reciprocal_tariffs.jpg

Trump's tariff diplomacy seeks to undermine and remake the postwar trade order. The irony is that, while intended to maintain US dominance, the strategy may accelerate the redistribution of economic power to emerging economies, leading to the transition to a multipolar world.

“War Without Harm”: China’s Hybrid Warfare Playbook Against Taiwan

Generated by Google Gemini AI on September 15, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Beijing’s ideal unification scenario is a ‘war without harm’ – Taiwan’s unconditional surrender in the face of overwhelming hybrid warfare and military pressure. Here’s what this scenario might look like, and what Taipei can do to prepare.

Kathmandu Speaks: What’s Next for Nepal?

Generated by Google Gemini AI on September 15, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

If Kathmandu can transform its long history of popular mobilization into institutions that value citizen voices rather than criminalize them, Nepal will not only stabilize its politics — it will also deepen democracy for a generation.

Europe’s Takeaway from the Israel-Iran War: Offense Is Still the Best Defense

cc IDF, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:%D7%9E%D7%92%D7%9F_%D7%95%D7%97%D7%A5,_%D7%9E%D7%A7%D7%91%D7%A5_%D7%AA%D7%9E%D7%95%D7%A0%D7%95%D7%AA_%D7%90-33.jpg

For twelve days in June 2025, Israel and Iran traded attacks as the world held its breath and watched, wondering how this geopolitical game of chicken was going to end. What can Europe’s military planners learn from the conflict?

 Geopolitics Weekly (US-Venezuela Relations, France Debt Downgrade, Nepal Protests)

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This week we cover the deterioration of US-Venezuela relations in the wake of a US military strike on alleged drug traffickers; Fitch downgrading France sovereign debt to the lowest rating on record; a new government in Nepal after a wave of deadly protests; and signs of destabilization along the Afpak frontier.

 China’s New Trade Empire Is Reshaping South America Geopolitics

Presidente da República, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, e presidente da República Popular da China, Xi Jinping em Cerimônia Oficial de Recepção - Pequim - China. / cc Palácio do Planalto , modified / https://www.flickr.com/photos/palaciodoplanalto/52819383580

China’s surge in infrastructure investment is transforming South America into an integrated part of its industrial supply chain and, over time, shifting the geopolitics of a continent long dominated by the United States.

 South China Sea Dispute: Vietnam

Zoomed out map of South China Sea occupation in the Spratly Islands. Created with CC inputs from Natural Earth, Mapbox, and Openstreetmaps. All rights reserved.

History and geography cast long shadows over Vietnam’s role in the South China Sea Dispute, with Hanoi having to thread the needle between two naval giants under a flag of ‘bamboo diplomacy.’

Yarlung Zangbo Dam: The Dawn of Zero-Sum Water Politics in South Asia

India China Yarlung Zangbo Dam, (C) Geopoliticalmonitor.com

The Yarlung Zangbo dam represents more than an infrastructure project or geopolitical flashpoint between China and India; it embodies a fundamental challenge to the international order governing shared natural resources.

India’s Foreign Policy Must Be Guided by Historical Reality, Not Catchphrases

cc White House, modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-meets-with-prime-minister-narendra-modi-of-india/

As India enters a critical decade for its future as a major power, it must deftly navigate a volatile geopolitical environment with a sober appreciation of the lessons of history – not the catchphrases of our current moment.

Doha Under Attack, Diplomacy at Risk

Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al Thani., cc kremlin.ru, modified.

The world must choose the path that safeguards the critical work of negotiators, because the alternative is the slow decline of the very channels that prevent war from becoming permanent.

Russia and the ‘Art’ of Breaking Agreements with Neighbors

U.S. President Clinton, Russian President Yeltsin, and Ukrainian President Kravchuk after signing the Trilateral Statement in Moscow on 14 January 1994. / cc U.S. government employee, photo from William J. Clinton Presidential Library / modified / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Presidents_after_signing_the_Trilateral_Statement,_Moscow,_1994.png

Moscow’s attempted annexation of Ukraine is in keeping with centuries of imperial tradition. European leaders should bear this in mind if they want to protect the integrity of international law.

Hezbollah Disarmament: Strategic, Political, and Regional Dimensions

A Hezbollah anti-aircraft gun tourist landmark in 2013; modified, Frode Bjorshol / https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hezbollah_ZU-23-2_anti-aircraft_gun.jpg

Recent momentum toward Hezbollah disarmament in Lebanon is encouraging, but optimism should be tempered so long as the core contradictions behind the conflict go unresolved.

From Defense to War: The Language of a Changing Global Order

Generated by Google Gemini AI on September 8, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The renaming of the US Department of Defense is not new, and it reflects a global order that is pivoting back toward the peer military conflicts of the past.

 Israel’s David’s Corridor: Redrawing the Levant Map

Created with data from Openstreetmaps, Mapbox, and Natural Earth. All Rights Reserved, Geopolitical Monitor.

Israel’s ‘David’s Corridor’ project would undermine the Axis of Resistance, secure access to critical resources, and fundamentally reshape the demographic and political realities of the Levant in a way that’s favorable to Israeli strategic interests. But realizing the vision will not be easy.

Geopolitics Weekly (Afghan Earthquake, US Drones, India Military Modernization)

GeopoliticsWeeklyHeader

This week we cover a new prime minister’s entry into the fray of Thai politics, President Trump making moves to expand the global market for US drone sales, geopolitical risks associated with a recent earthquake in Afghanistan, and India’s ambitious new military modernization program.

The Global AI Rules Race: China’s Strategic Response to US Tech Dominance

Generated by Google Gemini AI on September 4, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The battle over governance, in terms of who sets the rules, norms, and standards, could prove decisive in shaping not just the future of AI, but the global balance of power.

Vietnam’s New South China Sea Play: From Militarization to Conservation

cc Dmitry Domrin , Frog Fish in South China Sea, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Frog_fish_sits_on_a_coral_reef._South_China_Sea._Philippines.jpg

Marine protected areas can protect vulnerable maritime ecosystems in the South China Sea. They can also help advance Hanoi’s sovereignty claims.

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