"Israel's Policy Endgame: How Begin Doctrine shaped the Netanyahu era."
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Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).
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Israel’s Iran Policy Endgame: How Begin Doctrine Shaped the Netanyahu Era
Tracing the historical evolution of Israel’s doctrine of pre-emptive deterrence, from its introduction under the Begin Doctrine to the recent Israel-Iran war.
Tracing the historical evolution of Israel’s doctrine of pre-emptive deterrence, from its introduction under the Begin Doctrine to the recent Israel-Iran war.
Latest Stories
Russia’s Taliban Recognition Signals Potential Domino Effect
Russia’s Taliban recognition could be the start of a trend; however, Afghanistan’s (partial) reintegration into the diplomatic mainstream will add a new layer of complexity to Central Asian geopolitics.
Russia’s Taliban recognition could be the start of a trend; however, Afghanistan’s (partial) reintegration into the diplomatic mainstream will add a new layer of complexity to Central Asian geopolitics.
Between the Lines: US-Vietnam Trade Pact Signals Strategic Shift in Asia
The recent US-Vietnam trade pact illustrates how Hanoi is becoming a strategic pivot point in a much larger geopolitical game.
The recent US-Vietnam trade pact illustrates how Hanoi is becoming a strategic pivot point in a much larger geopolitical game.
Romania’s New President Must Update His Black Sea Playbook
As US attention shifts away from the European theater under Trump’s leadership, Romania finds itself at a critical juncture where waiting for external solutions is no longer a viable option. Bucharest must adapt to this new geopolitical normal, and quickly.
As US attention shifts away from the European theater under Trump’s leadership, Romania finds itself at a critical juncture where waiting for external solutions is no longer a viable option. Bucharest must adapt to this new geopolitical normal, and quickly.
2025 BRICS Rio Summit: The Limits of Symbolism
The 2025 BRICS Rio Summit reflects a contradiction at the heart of the bloc: while US trade threats underscore the relevance of BRICS efforts to hedge against dollar dominance, deep internal divisions and technical obstacles continue to hamstring its ability to actually do anything about it.
The 2025 BRICS Rio Summit reflects a contradiction at the heart of the bloc: while US trade threats underscore the relevance of BRICS efforts to hedge against dollar dominance, deep internal divisions and technical obstacles continue to hamstring its ability to actually do anything about it.
Philippines-Japan Deal to Boost PN Presence in South China Sea
A pending transfer of six Abukama-class destroyers would ease operational attrition in the South China Sea. It could also serve as a template for Japanese defense deals elsewhere.
A pending transfer of six Abukama-class destroyers would ease operational attrition in the South China Sea. It could also serve as a template for Japanese defense deals elsewhere.
South China Sea Dispute: The Philippines
The Philippines claim in the South China Sea is not just a matter of national sovereignty – it’s a potential flashpoint for future US-China military conflict.
The Philippines claim in the South China Sea is not just a matter of national sovereignty – it’s a potential flashpoint for future US-China military conflict.
Israel’s Assault on Gaza’s Lifelines: Maritime Piracy that Threatens Global Security
From the Mavi Marmara in 2010 to the Madelene in 2025, Israel’s attacks on humanitarian ships form a consistent pattern—one that intensifies Gaza’s suffering and threatens the safety of international waters.
From the Mavi Marmara in 2010 to the Madelene in 2025, Israel’s attacks on humanitarian ships form a consistent pattern—one that intensifies Gaza’s suffering and threatens the safety of international waters.
Converging Revolutions: How Drones and AI Drive the Future of Warfare
The paradigm shift of drone and AI warfare represents a new revolution in military affairs. But this time the United States may be left behind.
The paradigm shift of drone and AI warfare represents a new revolution in military affairs. But this time the United States may be left behind.
Thailand-Cambodia Border Dispute: Faultlines of Nationalism
Exploring the historical background and key developments in a long-simmering Thailand-Cambodia border dispute that is now pushing the two ASEAN neighbors to the brink of military conflict.
Exploring the historical background and key developments in a long-simmering Thailand-Cambodia border dispute that is now pushing the two ASEAN neighbors to the brink of military conflict.
NATO’s Eastward Expansion and the Supposed Betrayal of Russia
Statements from key historical figures at the time and Russia’s own tacit acceptance of NATO’s expansion in the 1990s and 2000s make it far-fetched to regard NATO’s continued enlargement as a betrayal of Russia.
Statements from key historical figures at the time and Russia’s own tacit acceptance of NATO’s expansion in the 1990s and 2000s make it far-fetched to regard NATO’s continued enlargement as a betrayal of Russia.
Geopolitics Weekly (Liberation Day Redux, Ukraine Bomber, Global Drought Risk)
This week we cover the looming deadline for the Liberation Day tariff reprieve, mounting concerns over US military stockpiles, the latest evolution of Russian hybrid warfare tactics in Ukraine, and a UN report outlining drought risks around the world.
This week we cover the looming deadline for the Liberation Day tariff reprieve, mounting concerns over US military stockpiles, the latest evolution of Russian hybrid warfare tactics in Ukraine, and a UN report outlining drought risks around the world.
US-Vietnam Tariff Deal Shakes Up Asian Supply Chains
The US-Vietnam tariff deal is highly significant: disrupting Chinese-linked export routes, chipping away at ASEAN unity, and possibly even forcing a fundamental rethink of global manufacturing strategies.
The US-Vietnam tariff deal is highly significant: disrupting Chinese-linked export routes, chipping away at ASEAN unity, and possibly even forcing a fundamental rethink of global manufacturing strategies.
France-Turkey Geopolitics: Navigating Tensions and Cooperation
Libya, visa, and trade issues have stymied France-Turkey relations, but instances of pragmatic cooperation over the past two years suggest the possibility of stabilization moving forward.
Libya, visa, and trade issues have stymied France-Turkey relations, but instances of pragmatic cooperation over the past two years suggest the possibility of stabilization moving forward.
With Friends Like These: Moscow Quietly Gains from Iran’s Misfortune
Iran is a close ally that has long figured prominently in Russian strategic calculus, but events of the past month have weakened the bilateral relationship such that some are now wondering if the Kremlin might be prepared to pivot away.
Iran is a close ally that has long figured prominently in Russian strategic calculus, but events of the past month have weakened the bilateral relationship such that some are now wondering if the Kremlin might be prepared to pivot away.
“Paris for Berlin” Is Better: A Case for Strengthening Europe’s Nuclear Deterrence
The “New York-for-Paris” dilemma won’t be going away, but it can be mitigated by a “Paris-for-Berlin” approach, which is more credible due to geographic proximity and a shared European identity.
The “New York-for-Paris” dilemma won’t be going away, but it can be mitigated by a “Paris-for-Berlin” approach, which is more credible due to geographic proximity and a shared European identity.
Artificial Empires: The Race for Swahili AI in East Africa
The rise of external AI giants underscores the urgency of developing homegrown language models that reflect Africa’s linguistic plurality - not just as a matter of equity, but of epistemic sovereignty.
The rise of external AI giants underscores the urgency of developing homegrown language models that reflect Africa’s linguistic plurality - not just as a matter of equity, but of epistemic sovereignty.
Regime Change in Iran: The Geopolitical Stakes
What makes Iran so important to global geopolitics? And how would a regime change impact great power rivalries involving Russia, China, and the West?
What makes Iran so important to global geopolitics? And how would a regime change impact great power rivalries involving Russia, China, and the West?
Predictive Illusion: Lessons from China’s Economic Trajectory
The ‘ceteris paribus’ assumption of long-term forecasting tends to blind analysts to inevitable shifts in the political sphere, and nowhere is this more apparent than with China projections.
The ‘ceteris paribus’ assumption of long-term forecasting tends to blind analysts to inevitable shifts in the political sphere, and nowhere is this more apparent than with China projections.
Two Wars, One Axis: How the Israel–Iran Conflict Echoes in Ukraine
Two wars rage in two distant regions, yet both are facets of the same struggle between revisionist regimes seeking to reshape the global order and liberal democracies struggling to contain them.
Two wars rage in two distant regions, yet both are facets of the same struggle between revisionist regimes seeking to reshape the global order and liberal democracies struggling to contain them.
Argentina’s Nuclear Gamble: Can Milei Create a Nuclear Energy Power?
Milei’s ambitious plans for new AI data centers and a homegrown nuclear industry risk crashing against the rocks of the political and economic realities of Argentina.
Milei’s ambitious plans for new AI data centers and a homegrown nuclear industry risk crashing against the rocks of the political and economic realities of Argentina.
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Welcome to my geopolitics blog site. This is a Hawaii Island news site focusing on geopolitical news, analysis, information, and commentary. I will cite a variety of sources, ranging from all sides of the political spectrum.