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"After the fall of Assad, the Middle East braces for unrest."

Views expressed in this geopolitical news and analysis are those of the reporters and correspondents.  Accessed on 12 December 2024, 0222 UTC.

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Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).

 

After the Fall of Assad, the Middle East Braces for Unrest

Jubilant crowds in some of Syria’s biggest and most politically significant cities toppled statues of former President Hafez Assad over the past week, in a scene reminiscent of the toppling of statues of former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein in Baghdad in 2003. They were celebrating the sudden and stunning ouster of Assad’s son, Bashar Assad, after 24 years in power.

But the fall of Bashar Assad will not bring peace and stability to Syria in the foreseeable future. The militant group that led the rebellion, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, and its controversial leader, Abu Mohammed al-Golani, will struggle to convince Syrians, let alone the outside world, that they have abandoned their jihadist past. Though most Syrians are dedicated Muslims, they have little interest in religious dogma. There is little common ground among Syria’s diverse ethnic and religious groups, which will prevent agreement on the fundamentals of a future political system and national identity.

Complicating the situation further, the country’s neighbors have set their sights on Syrian territory amid the growing uncertainty there.



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The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Over the Years

The Israeli-Palestinian conflict has been more than 100 years in the making. The fragmented geography of a potential Palestinian state, divided by hostile Israeli territory, undermines trust on both sides and perpetuates insecurity. This division, rooted in the establishment of Israel, has fueled territorial disputes and accounts for Israel’s gradual expansion into Palestinian areas.

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