"Israel's greatest threat right now is its war within."
Views expressed in this geopolitical news and analysis are those of the reporters and correspondents. Accessed on 14 November 2024, 2010 UTC.
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Russ Roberts (https://trendsingeopolitics.blogspot.com).
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November 14, 2024 |
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Hello, everyone. Today at WPR, we’re covering Israel’s domestic fault lines and Mexico’s leverage over the incoming Trump administration. |
But first, here’s our take on today’s top story: |
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| International Atomic Energy Agency Director-General Rafael Grossi meets with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Tehran, Nov. 14, 2024 (AP photo by Vahid Salemi). |
Iran: Rafael Grossi, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, or IAEA—the U.N.’s autonomous nuclear watchdog—met with Iran’s foreign minister and nuclear chief in Tehran today in an effort to restore cooperation between the IAEA and Iran. The visit comes as some European countries are pushing to pass a resolution that would put additional pressure on Iran to cooperate at an IAEA Board of Governors’ meeting next week. (AP) |
Our Take: Iran’s nuclear program has been back in the spotlight for much of this year, largely because of Tehran’s involvement, by proxy and directly, in the regional war with Israel. Now, though, the looming return of President-elect Donald Trump to the White House has made that spotlight even brighter. |
After all, it was Trump’s decision... |
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Over the course of 2024, and especially since July, Israel has demonstrated its clear military advantage over its regional rivals. Israel’s devastating campaign in Gaza has reduced Hamas from the organized militia it was on Oct. 7, 2023, into a loose and ineffective guerrilla force. And in Lebanon, the leaders of Hezbollah have mostly been killed, and the organization’s military ability has been severely degraded. |
However, the past year has also demonstrated that this military advantage is insufficient to decide the ongoing war of attrition between Israel and “the axis of resistance” in Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq and Iran, leaving Israel locked in multiple wars with no end in sight. |
And yet, as Yair Wallach writes, the country’s real existential challenge lies within. |
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The morning after former U.S. President Donald Trump won last week’s presidential election, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum sought to reassure her compatriots. “There’s no reason for concern,” she told the Mexican people. “We are a free country, independent and sovereign, and we will have a good relationship with the United States, I am convinced.” |
The need for reassurance was obvious. When Trump begins his second term in January, Mexico will stand squarely in the crosshairs of his agenda. The United States’ neighbor to the south is bracing for Trump to enact some of the proposals that drove his most recent presidential campaign. |
The challenge for Sheinbaum, who has held office for little more than a month, is monumental. But it is nowhere near a lost cause, columnist Frida Ghitis writes. |
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The U.S. is continuing to push to transition an international security mission that is currently fighting gang violence in Haiti to a U.N. peacekeeping mission, which would be more robust and better-funded. The transition is also supported by Kenya, which is leading the current mission, but has been blocked by Russia and China. |
This week’s question: Should the U.N. send a peacekeeping mission to Haiti? |
We’ll select one person from those who answer the question above to receive a free month of full access to WPR. |
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Chinese President Xi Jinping will inaugurate a megaport in Peru today that was largely financed and will be exclusively operated by Chinese shipping giant Cosco. The port is the first in South America to be controlled by China, which over the past decade has replaced the U.S. as the region’s top trading partner. |
The port’s opening actually comes at a time when Beijing is shifting its investment strategy in Latin America away from megaprojects and toward more strategic sectors like emerging technologies. In January, James Bosworth broke down how Latin American countries can respond to this shift, as well as growing U.S.-China competition, to gain long-term benefits for themselves: |
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Mali’s ruling military junta arrested Issa Kaou N’Djim, one of the country’s top politicians, yesterday after he criticized neighboring Burkina Faso’s military junta. N’Djim previously supported Mali’s military leaders after they took power in a coup in 2020 but later distanced himself. In 2021, he was sentenced to six months in prison for criticizing the regime. |
Since taking power, Mali’s military junta has increasingly cracked down on civil society and political freedoms, a trend that has worsened greatly over the past year. As Chris O. Ògúnmọ́dẹdé wrote in April, the crackdown suggests that Mali’s “interim” government is anything but “interim” and has little desire to relinquish power. |
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New Zealand’s parliament was briefly suspended earlier today after Maori MPs staged a haka—a traditional Maori dance—in order to disrupt a vote on a bill that would narrow the country’s official interpretation of the Treaty of Waitangi, the 184-year-old agreement that governs relations with the Indigenous Maori. |
Although the bill is almost certain to fail, it speaks to a growing backlash to the expansion of Maori rights in New Zealand. As Cathrin Schaer wrote in 2021, until recently, New Zealand was considered to be a model for redressing historical injustices against its Indigenous peoples. |
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A new report from the World Bank says that adapting to sea level rise will cost Kiribati, Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands—the three most vulnerable Pacific atoll nations—nearly $10 billion, or the equivalent of 20 years of their current combined GDP. Facing the looming crisis, Tuvalu last year signed a climate migration agreement with Australia that, as Catherine Wilson writes, could provide a model for other countries. |
More from WPR |
Read all of our latest coverage here. |
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Welcome to my geopolitics blog site. This is a Hawaii Island news site focusing on geopolitical news, analysis, information, and commentary. I will cite a variety of sources, ranging from all sides of the political spectrum.